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Roscongress Foundation and InfraOne Release ‘Infrastructure Investment 2020’ Study

21 February 2020
Фонд Росконгресс и InfraOne выпустили исследование «Инвестиции в инфраструктуру – 2020»

As part of collaborative expert and analytical work, the Roscongress Foundation and InfraOne Research, the research arm of the InfraOne group of companies, have released a new study titled ‘Investments in Infrastructure 2020’. The multi-page document analyses the current state of the market and its key trends and also offers a development forecast for 2020–2021. The study can be viewed in the ROSCONGRESS.ORG Information and Analytical System.

Budget expenditures on infrastructure totalled RUB 2 trillion in 2019, an increase of almost RUB 200 billion at current prices. However, total budget investments as a percentage of GDP was only up 0.1 percentage point as of the end of 2019 — to 1.8%.

Analysts say the projects launched as part of the decrees issued by the Russian president in May have not yet had a major effect on the volume of funds invested in infrastructure. Federal funding is being disbursed with delays, and private investors expect the government to provide clarity on the projects that it plans to implement.

The study includes an updated version of the national list of promising projects that could be launched in the next year or three. The list includes 100 initiatives worth RUB 1.87 trillion. According to analysts, 16 projects with investment of roughly RUB 290 billion are the closest to being launched. Since the previous version of the list was published in June 2019, several megaprojects have been taken off the list, as their implementation has been pushed back beyond the next three years.

The transport sector is the leader on the list as far as investment is concerned, accounting for 86% of all planned investments, while the social sector leads the way in terms of quantity with 39 initiatives. Most of the projects are planned at the regional level (62 projects), but federal initiatives envisage the most investment at around RUB 986 billion.

The plans to launch these projects can be implemented if there are no significant changes in the infrastructure investment market and the legislation governing the market remains stable.